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Thursday, Feb 27th

Brooklyn Nets @ Atlanta Hawks 7:30 PM EST 

The Brooklyn Nets take on the Atlanta Hawks at State Farm Arena. The Hawks are 3.5 point dogs at home and the total currently sits between 236 and 236.5. Both teams are coming off back to back losses straight up and against the spread. The Hawks have lost two straight as dogs, while the nets have lost two straight as favorites. 

A few trends that point in the Hawks favor: the Hawks 10-3-1 ATS last 14 at home and the Nets 4-10 last 14 away. Additionally, the Hawks are 8-2 abasing the spread in their last 10 games as single digit home dog off a loss. The Nets beat Charlotte on the road by 30 game after Kyrie Irving went down for the season. The Fallen Hero theory states that the first game following a crucial injury, the other role players on a team will rise to the occasion and play well to account for their lost teammate, this clearly applies here. Following that win, the Nets lost their last 2 as favorites versus the Magic and the Wizards. 

Tonight’s matchup is the Hawks 1st game without Dewayne Dedmon since the recent trade. Dedmon played 6 games with Hawks since the trade from Sacramento averaged 7.3 PPG 7.3 RPG 2.0 BPG. Solid numbers playing only 22.8 MPG. The fallen hero theory applies here only because of Dedmon’s past history with the Hawks and his welcome strong play since the trade. Look for the Hawks frontcourt to have a very solid showing. 

This game should be an interesting one with both teams losing games by the handful and hoping for a high percentage change in the lottery. One thing separates these two squads on paper, that is Trae Young. The Hawks win easily in this one. 

Take: Hawks +3.5 (-105) & sprinkle the ML +140

Minnesota Timberwolves @ Orlando Magic 7:00 PM EST

In NBA tonight we have the Minnesota Timberwolves visiting the Orlando Magic tonight. Currently Orlando is favored at -7.5 and the Over/Under is at 234. The Magic are on a two game winning streak against sub-par teams and has averaged 117 points per game since the All Star break. They have also been allowing 118.33 points per game since the All Star break which is a completely different compared to the first half of the season. 

The Minnesota Timberwolves are just 1-3 since the All Star break, and covered last night winning 129-126 to the slumping Heat team. They have been averaging 121.25 points per game and that is without D. Russell in the line up a couple of games. Also they have been allowing 130 points per game since the All Star Break. 

Both teams are playing nothing, with the Magic maybe being able to make the playoffs as a lower seed in the Eastern conference. All the signs and stats are pointing towards the over in this game, which my bet for the game is Under 234. 

Since the All Star break bets that are statistically correct are getting torched with a team getting a huge 2nd half comeback, teams not being able to score a bucket for minutes stretch, and other things that I am trying to forget. I think the Magic are going to win this game and cover, but I am putting my money on the Under at 234. 

Take: Under 234 (-110)

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