ACC Conference System Plays

Taking a deep dive into the ACC we've taken note on small (+5 or smaller) ACC Home Dog's performance which is a staggering 8-23 25% ATS since the Jan 01 2019. These teams are 1-5 SU this season. There are two that fall under this situation in Boston College and Notre Dame; so looks dive deeper...

L'Ville / ND 1:00 CT 
It's funny these two ACC games were focusing on have the same spread. Even though Louisville lost two games recently at Kentucky, and FSU...there simply much bigger and better than Notre Dame.  The line is low due to conference play, and due the the fact ND's point Gurads Gibbs and Hubb are some of the best in the ACC. But Louisville is a scary 19-1 Straight Up in first month of conference play facing a team coming off a loss in the last 20 situations and 83% SU in database history. Giving ND is 1-7 SU in their 8 Home games, you have to consider how Louisville is going to control this Notre Dame team who in my opinion is playing their best opponent of the season this afternoon. They're the best slow paced team in the country next to UVA and Butler. Louisville by two buckets. 

TAKE: Louisville -3.5 -110

GA Tech / BC 5:00 CT
With this being such a low spread, let's start by pointing out ACC home dogs coming off a dog win have lost 8 in a row. That's Boston College coming off a 7 point home dog win vs Virginia, which was impressive but BC is 3-29 Straight Up coming off a game where they scored 61 points or less in the last 32 situations, and 1-13 SU coming off a game where they scored 61 or less and playing as a Home Dog. Not only that, Ga Tech is top 20% in pace in the county compared to BC's slow paced offence.  Remember Ga Tech is coming off an impressive cover vs Duke and an even more impressive win vs a lowly UNC team, at chapel hill.  GA Tech players are really getting into the groove in conference play with those two impressive performances ontop of 4 players getting into double digit points in the last two games. They simply have better forwards who can guard the arc as well. Wrapping this one up, GA Tech is 9-1 in their last 10 games playing a team coming off a Dog Win and they're also 72% Straight Up  in database history when playing as a favorite vs a team coming off a 60pt or less performance    

TAKE: Ga Tech -3.5 -110