Sunday Night College Hoops
Stanford @ California 6:00 PM EST
In this Pac 12 contest, the Stanford Cardinal travel to Haas Pavilion to take on the California Golden Bears. The Golden Bears are getting 4 points at home and the total currently sits at 126. The Cardinal are coming off a loss against the USC Trojans away from home. The Golden Bears are coming off two straight losses in which they failed to cover the spread both times.
Situationally, the systems point toward a low scoring contest. In all of Pac 12 play, games in which the total is below 136 and both teams are on more than 1 day of rest, with a line between 2.5 and 9.5, the under is 14-6 (70%) since January 19, 2017. Stanford, when playing as a favorite of between 3.5 and 9.5 points, coming off a loss, in a game with a total under 135, the under is 16-6-1 (72.8%) in database history. In Pac 12 play, games with a dog of fewer than 10 points, with a total under 136 points, and both teams are on more than 1 days rest, the under is 16-6 (72.7%) in such contests involving the Golden Bears in database history.
Analytically, the games leans under as well. The Golden Bears are 316th in the nation in pace of play, and 234th in offensive efficiency. The Cardinal are 199th in tempo and have a 20 top defense in terms of efficiency.
Stanford will likely dominate this game. The only way the Golden Bears can keep it close is to control the pace of play, which means slow it down. Since neither team will be in a hurry to score, the under hits with ease. The California TT under and Stanford 1H -4 look interesting as well.
Take: Under 126